West Bengal (WB) Assembly Election 2021 Exit Poll: Exit polls for West Bengal are now out and numbers suggest that the fight is very close. Some have predicted win for the BJP while some have favoured the ruling TMC. The poll of polls put the TMC ahead of the BJP. However, India Today-Axis My Nation polls have put BJP ahead of TMC. According to India Today, the saffron party may get 134-160 and TMC can win 130-156 seats.
According to Republic-CNX, the TMC is projected to get 128-138 seats while the BJP is expected to get 138-148 seats. The Left is expected to get 11-21 seats. Jan Ki Baat has predicted 174 seats for the BJP. But others have projected edge for Mamata Banerjee. Surveys show the BJP will cross 100-mark but might be restricted under 125.
While three major alliances are in the fray, the fight is largely between the BJP and Trinamool Congress of Mamata Banerjee. The BJP leaders are confident of removing Mamata by winning over 200 seats, whereas the Trinamool Congress is hoping to sail through the anti incumbency wave. In this election, the biggest battle ground is Nandigram, where Mamata Banerjee is taking on her former cabinet colleague Suvendu Adhikari.
In 2011, the TMC came to power in the state by ending the 34-year rule of the Left government. Till 2016, Mamata’s party was firmly in control in the state but situation changed in the 2019 Lok Sabha election, in which the saffron party emerged the second largest party with over 40 per cent vote share and 18 of 42 seats.
In 2016, the TMC had got 211 seats with nearly 45 per cent votes. In that election, the Congress came at the second position with over 12 per cent vote share. The Left got 19.75 per cent vote share but just 26 seats, 14 less than what it got in 2011. The BJP in this election had got just three seats with over 10 per cent vote share.